Research
The Next Coast studies the two binding constraints of the future economy — compute, which limits intelligence, and land, which limits physical growth — and how advances in AI reshape both.
Explains why alignment-by-directive inevitably produces Goodhart distortions at scale if it is not accompanied by a framework that reasons dynamically about edge cases and boundaries through contextual mapping.
Defines a minimal incentive mechanism where every claim must either expose a verifiable witness or place a scored wager on a future observation. By enforcing the inequality pL > B, honesty becomes the dominant strategy and transparency emerges as the cheapest equilibria.
Explores how the Dallas—Austin—San Antonio—Houston corridor is evolving into a single megaregional economy. Demographic momentum, corporate density, and infrastructure integration demand structural policy shifts to avoid asymmetric resource drain and regional imbalance.
Analyzes rural land as a store of value amid a bifurcated economy with deflationary tech forces and inflationary fiscal policies. It highlights land’s finite supply, uncorrelated income streams, and Texas’s 1-d-1 open-space tax appraisal, positioning land as a compelling hedge against long-term monetary accommodation.
Uses the progression from music boxes to composers as a scaffold for AI capability regimes, showing where current alignment tools apply and where they fail. The framework isolates the stage where systems gain self-modification and persistent goals — the point requiring institutional governance.
A median-household inflation measure stitched across centuries to anchor long-horizon price comparisons, from Ur to Rome to the U.S. Examines how inflation is used as a method of wealth transfer across classes with varying access to capital resources. Draft in progress.
Coming soon.